随着常住地基本公共服务供给制度不断完善,地方嵌入成为理解流动人口城市落户意愿的重要视角。基于2017年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,以有义务教育年龄段子女的流动人口为研究对象,运用Logit回归模型,考察不同维度的地方嵌入与城市落户意愿的关系。研究发现,子女教育服务嵌入、本地社会关系嵌入均与较高落户意愿相关,但二者呈现“总体水平累积、边际增量递减”的有限累积特征：双重嵌入对应的城市落户意愿预测概率高于单一嵌入,而一种嵌入所对应的增量关联在另一种嵌入存在时相对减弱。这表明,地方嵌入的联合优势并非增量的简单加总,其与落户意愿的关联具有组合依赖性。此外,地方依恋与两类嵌入及落户意愿均显著相关。推进流动人口城市融入,应加强常住地服务保障与社区融入支持的协同,针对不同家庭的服务需求和社会联系状况完善分类支持措施,提升流动人口融入治理的精准性。
As place-based public service provision improves, local embeddedness offers a useful framework for understanding migrants’ urban hukou settlement intentions. Using data from the 2017 China Migrants Dynamic Survey, this study examines migrants with children of compulsory-school age and employs Logit models to analyze the associations between different dimensions of local embeddedness and settlement intentions. The results show that both child education service embeddedness and local social ties are positively associated with settlement intentions, but exhibit a pattern of “cumulative overall gains with diminishing marginal increments.” Dual embeddedness is associated with a higher predicted probability of settlement intention than single embeddedness, while the additional association of one form of embeddedness weakens when the other is present. This suggests that the joint advantages of local embeddedness are not simply additive but depend on the combination of embeddedness dimensions. Place attachment is also significantly associated with both forms of embeddedness and settlement intentions. These findings highlight the importance of coordinating place-based service provision with community integration support and tailoring assistance to migrant families’ service needs and local social ties.
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