The evolution and driving factors of polycentric development pattern in Chinese cities

  • YUAN Xiao-ling ,
  • WANG Shu-bei ,
  • HE Bin
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Received date: 2023-10-29

  Revised date: 2023-11-23

  Online published: 2024-01-04

Abstract

Using LandScan grid population data, this study uses non-parametric analysis method and network analysis method to measure the number and equilibrium degree of urban centers within the municipal area of prefect-level and above cities in China from 2001 to 2018, cluster and summarize the phase rule of urban spatial structure evolution, and analyze its driving factors through geographic detectors. The results show that: First of all, there is an obvious trend of polycentric development in Chinese cities, and the development pattern has changed from suburban expansion to exurban expansion. Secondly, the four stages of urban spatial structure evolution in China are identified from the combination of the number of urban centers and the degree of equilibrium. Third, the role of natural factors on urban polycentralization is limited, and it mainly interacts with economic and government influence. Finally, the influence factors of economy, government play a more direct role, among which fixed asset investment and population agglomeration scale play the most significant role. Based on the above research conclusions, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions for optimizing development in terms of urban spatial layout, following development law and optimizing development force.

Cite this article

YUAN Xiao-ling , WANG Shu-bei , HE Bin . The evolution and driving factors of polycentric development pattern in Chinese cities[J]. Urban Problems, 2023 , 341(12) : 60 -69 . DOI: 10.13239/j.bjsshkxy.cswt.231206

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