The impact of“ smart-green integration” on urban green innovation efficiency: A quasi-natural experiment based on dual pilot programs for AI Experimental Zones and Low-Carbon City

  • LU Yang ,
  • WANG Yu-bao
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Received date: 2026-06-09

  Revised date: 2026-07-16

  Online published: 2026-11-04

Abstract

Using the dual-pilot policy of AI experimental zones and low-carbon cities as a quasi-natural experiment, this paper employs a double machine learning method on panel data from 284 prefecture-level cities (2000-2024) to examine the effects and mechanisms of"smart-green integration" on urban green innovation efficiency. Results show: The dual-pilot policy significantly improves green innovation efficiency, remaining robust after alternative dependent variables, outlier exclusion, model re-specification, and controlling for parallel policies. The policy indirectly boosts efficiency through three channels: talent structure optimization, digital-real technology integration, and industry-university-research collaborative innovation. Heterogeneity analysis reveals stronger effects in the commercialization stage (vs. R&D stage), central cities (vs. non-central), non-resource-based cities (vs. resource-based), and high-digital-base cities (vs. low-digital-base). The dual-policy effect significantly outperforms single policies, exhibiting a"1+1>2" synergy.

Cite this article

LU Yang , WANG Yu-bao . The impact of“ smart-green integration” on urban green innovation efficiency: A quasi-natural experiment based on dual pilot programs for AI Experimental Zones and Low-Carbon City[J]. Urban Problems, 2026 , 372(7) : 51 -64 . DOI: 10.13239/j.bjsshkxy.cswt.260705

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