根据城市韧性理论和数字经济理论,构建数字经济对城市韧性影响机制模型,利用2011—2020年长江经济带107个城市的面板数据,实证检验了数字经济对城市韧性的影响效应与中介机制。检验结果显示:数字经济对城市韧性水平提升具有显著正向影响;在数字经济影响城市韧性的过程中,产业结构高级化和产业创新能力发挥了中介作用;数字经济对城市韧性有正向的空间溢出作用。研究从数字经济与城市韧性关系方面拓展了数字经济理论和城市韧性理论的应用边界,揭示了数字经济对城市韧性的影响机制,为通过发展数字经济促进城市韧性提升提供理论依据。
Based on the theories of urban resilience and digital economy, the authors construct the mechanism model of digital economy influencing urban resilience. Using panel data from 2011-2020 of 107 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, the authors empirically test the relationship between digital economy and urban resilience. The results show that the digital economy has a positive impact on urban resilience; In the process of digital economy affecting urban resilience, the advanced industrial structure and industrial innovation ability play an intermediary role; The digital economy has a positive spatial spillover effect on urban resilience. This research extends the application of urban resilience theory and digital economy theory from the relationship between digital economy and urban resilience, reveals the influence mechanism of digital economy on the urban resilience, and provides a theoretical basis for promoting the urban resilience through development of digital economy at the urban level.
[1] Davoudi S, Shaw K, Haider L J. Resilience: A bridging concept or a dead end?[J]. Planning Theory & Practice,2012 (2):299-333
[2] 周利敏.韧性城市:风险治理及指标建构[J].北京行政学院学报,2016(2):13-20
[3] Bruneau M, Chang S E, Eguchi R T, et al. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities[J]. Earthquake Spectra, 2003(4):733-752
[4] 李彤玥.韧性城市研究新进展[J].国际城市规划,2017(5):15-25
[5] The Rockefeller Foundation. City Resilience Framework[R]. New York: The Rockefeller Foundation, 2015: 9-13
[6] Mayunga J S. Understanding and applying the concept of community disaster resilience: A capital-based approach[J].Summer Academy for Social Vulnerability and Resilience Building,2007(18):1-16
[7] Joerin J, Shaw R, Takeuchi Y, et al. Action-oriented resilience assessment of communities in Chennai, India[J]. Environmental Hazards, 2012(3):226-241
[8] Cutter S L, Kevin D A, Christopher T E. The geographies of community disaster resilience [J].Global Environmental Change,2014(11):65-77
[9] Jha A K, Miner T W, Geddes Z. Building Urban Resilience: Principles, Tools, and Practice[M].Washington:World Bank Publications,2013:9-65
[10] 孙阳,张落成,姚士谋.基于社会生态系统视角的长三角地级城市韧性度评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(8):151-158
[11] 白立敏,修春亮,冯兴华,等.中国城市韧性综合评估及其时空分异特征[J].世界地理研究,2019(6):77-87
[12] 中华人民共和国国家互联网信息办公室.二十国集团数字经济发展与合作倡议[EB/OL]. http://www.cac.gov.cn/2016-09/29/c_1119648520.htm. 2016-09-29
[13] Machlup F. The Production and Distribution of Knowledge in the United States[M].New Jersey: Princeton University Press,1962:299-388
[14] 中国信息通信研究院.中国数字经济发展白皮书(2017年)[R].北京:中国信息通信研究院, 2017: 58-65
[15] Barefoot K, Curtis D, Jolliff W, et al. Defining and measuring the digital economy[EB/OL]. https://www.bea.gov/system/files/papers/WP.2018-03-15
[16] Australian Bureau of Statistics. Measuring digital activities in the Australian economy [EB/OL]. https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/research/measuring-digital-activities-australian-economy. 2022-03-26
[17] 温珺,阎志军,程愚.数字经济与区域创新能力的提升[J].经济问题探索,2019(11):112-124
[18] 刘军、杨渊鋆、张三峰.中国数字经济测度与驱动因素研究[J].上海经济研究,2020(6):81-96
[19] 赵涛,张智,梁上坤.数字经济、创业活跃度与高质量发展——来自中国城市的经验证据[J].管理世界,2020(10):65-76
[20] 黄群慧,余泳泽,张松林.互联网发展与制造业生产率提升:内在机制与中国经验[J].中国工业经济,2019(8):5-23
[21] 姜松,孙玉鑫.数字经济对实体经济影响效应的实证研究[J].科研管理,2020(5):32-39
[22] 韩先锋,宋文飞,李勃昕.互联网能成为中国区域创新效率提升的新动能吗[J].中国工业经济,2019(7):119-136
[23] 丛屹,俞伯阳.数字经济对中国劳动力资源配置效率的影响[J].财经理论与实践,2020(2):108-114
[24] 陈晓东,杨晓霞.数字经济发展对产业结构升级的影响——基于灰关联熵与耗散结构理论的研究[J].改革,2021(3):26-39
[25] 俞伯阳,丛屹.数字经济、人力资本红利与产业结构高级化[J].财经理论与实践,2021(3):124-131
[26] 韩璐,陈松,梁玲玲.数字经济、创新环境与城市创新能力[J].科研管理,2021(4):35-45
[27] 姚志毅,张扬.数字经济与区域经济联动性的动态分析[J].经济经纬,2021(1):27-36
[28] Yilmaz S, Haynes K E, Dinc M. Geographic and network neighbors:Spillover effects of telecommunications infrastructure[J]. Journal of Regional Science,2002(2):339-360
[29] 刘姿均,陈文俊.中国互联网发展水平与经济增长关系实证研究[J].经济地理,2017(8):108-113,154
[30] 温忠麟.张雷,侯杰泰,等.中介效应检验程序及其应用[J].心理学报,2004(5):614-620
[31] 刘江艳,曾忠平.弹性城市评价指标体系构建及其实证研究[J].电子政务,2014(3):82-88
[32] 郭峰,王靖一,王芳,等.测度中国数字普惠金融发展:指数编制与空间特征[J].经济学(季刊),2020(4):1401-1418
[33] 干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011(5):4-16,31
[34] 熊励,蔡雪莲.数字经济对区域创新能力提升的影响效应——基于长三角城市群的实证研究[J].华东经济管理,2020(12):1-8
[35] 李广昊,周小亮.推动数字经济发展能否改善中国的环境污染——基于“宽带中国”战略的准自然实验[J].宏观经济研究,2021(7):146-160
[36] 金飞,徐长乐.数字经济发展对碳排放的非线性影响研究[J].现代经济探讨,2022(11):14-23